Early detection of diabetic and non-diabetic subjects with increased cardiovascular risk: new risk indicators

Dr A. Jager9(1), Dr C.D.A. Stehouwer(1,2,3)
(1)Institute for Research in Extramural Medicine, (2)Institute for Cardiovascular Research, and (3)Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital,
Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Cardiovascular disease continues to be the principal cause of death in the USA, Europe and a large part of Asia.[1,2] However, over the last decade, mortality from cardiovascular disease has shown an annual decline which may be largely due to improvements in the treatment and secondary prevention of myocardial infarction.[3] Nevertheless, congestive heart failure, a progressive disease, has emerged as one of the leading cardiovascular disorders in developed countries and is expected to become a major disease burden by the year 2020.[4] This situation emphasizes the necessity of risk reduction among asymptomatic subjects in order to prevent clinical symptoms of cardiovascular disease, i.e. primary prevention.

Diabetes mellitus probably affects 5–7% of Western populations. It has been estimated that its prevalence will double to reach 200 million worldwide over the next 15 years, due to lifestyle changes, ageing and better treatment facilities giving a longer lifespan.[5,6] Diabetes mellitus is associated with a three- to fourfold higher risk of cardiovascular mortality[7–9] and an approximately 5- to 10-year reduced life-expectancy compared with non-diabetic subjects.[10] The annual decline in cardiovascular mortality observed in the general population during the past 30 years has been almost absent in the diabetic population.[11] Consequently, the incidence and prevalence of cardiovascular disease among diabetic subjects will increase dramatically. Conventional cardiovascular risk factors are known to have a similar impact on diabetic as well as non-diabetic subjects,[12] and at all risk factor levels diabetic subjects have a two to three times higher absolute risk of a serious cardiovascular event than do non-diabetics.[12] Moreover, diabetic subjects have less favorable outcomes after myocardial infarction than do non-diabetic subjects.[13] In view of these considerations, focus on primary prevention among diabetic subjects might be even more important than among non-diabetic subjects.
The overall objective of cardiovascular disease prevention both in asymptomatic subjects and in subjects with clinically established cardiovascular disease is the same: to reduce the risk of subsequent cardiovascular events. There are, however, differences in treatment strategies used for primary and secondary prevention. In general, the use of intensive treatment strategies is more justified for secondary prevention than for primary prevention since benefits are easier to establish for secondary prevention. To decide whether drug therapy is also indicated for primary prevention, it is important to identify those asymptomatic subjects who have a relatively high absolute risk of cardiovascular disease (Figure 1).



Figure 1. Possible strategies for risk stratification in primary prevention of cardiovascular disease. vWF, von Willebrand factor; CRP, C-reactive protein; sVCAM-1, soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1.

Major risk factors for cardiovascular disease are hypertension, smoking, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus and a sedentary lifestyle. These risk factors, however, only explain about 50% of the prevalence and severity of coronary heart disease.[14,15] Recently, much research has been undertaken to search for new risk factors or indicators for cardiovascular disease.[16,17] Risk factors are defined as variables causally related to atherothrombosis, whereas risk indicators or risk markers are indirectly associated with atherothrombosis, for example because they reflect a pathophysiological mechanism causing atherothrombosis or because they are strongly associated with an unknown (and unmeasured) risk factor. Risk indicators, like risk factors, are useful because they allow so-called risk stratification. Risk stratification enables us to identify subjects especially prone to develop cardiovascular disease, in order to target preventive treatment on an individual level.
In this review, four promising new indicators of cardiovascular disease risk — slightly raised urinary albumin excretion (microalbuminuria) and raised plasma levels of von Willebrand factor (vWF), C-reactive protein (CRP) and soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1) — are described, with particular attention to the implications of these risk indicators for diabetic subjects. To provide some perspective on how these risk markers relate to cardiovascular disease, there is a brief introduction on the pathogenesis of atherothrombosis. Since 85% of all diabetic subjects have Type 2 diabetes mellitus, these subjects are the focus of this discussion.

Atherothrombosis
Atherothrombosis is a slowly progressive degenerative disease of large and middle-sized elastic and muscular arteries. The disease begins with formation of fatty streaks in adolescence and when progressed unabated develops into fibrous plaques and complicated lesions, culminating in thrombotic occlusions and cardiovascular events in later life. The most commonly held view of the pathogenesis of atherothrombosis is described in the so-called response-to-injury hypothesis first postulated by Ross and Harker in 1976.[18] In the latest update of this hypothesis, endothelial dysfunction is proposed to be the initiating factor leading to a series of specific cellular and molecular responses that can best be described as an inflammatory disease.[19]
Intact endothelium has important bioactive properties, i.e. it actively regulates vascular tone, permeability to macromolecules and leukocytes, the balance between coagulation and fibrinolysis, the composition of the subendothelial matrix, and the proliferation of vascular smooth muscle cells.[20–22] To carry out these functions, endothelium produces a variety of regulatory mediators (e.g. nitric oxide, prostanoids, endothelin, angiotensin II, tissue-type plasminogen activator, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, vWF and several cytokines), components of the extra-cellular matrix (e.g. heparan sulfate proteoglycans, collagen and laminin) and adhesion molecules (e.g. vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 [VCAM-1] and E-selectin). When the properties of intact endothelium change, either in the basal state or after stimulation, in such a way that normal organ function is no longer preserved, endothelial dysfunction is considered to be present.
Early manifestations of endothelial dysfunction include the appearance of specific adhesive molecules on the surface of the endothelial cells. Monocytes and T-lymphocytes attach to the these molecules and transmigrate to the subendothelial space. Once in the arterial wall, monocytes become macrophages where they act as antigen-presenting cells to T-lymphocytes, as scavenger cells to remove noxious materials, and as a source of growth-regulatory molecules and cytokines. In all stages of atherothrombosis, macrophages and T-lymphocytes are present in the arterial wall, suggesting that atherothrombosis is an ongoing low-grade inflammatory disease.[18,19]
Taken together, the initiating endothelial dysfunction and, subsequently, the ongoing low-grade inflammation of the arterial vessel wall are important (early) features of the atherothrombotic process. Therefore, markers reflecting endothelial dysfunction or low-grade inflammation might be useful for stratification of risk of cardiovascular disease.

Microalbuminuria
Albumin is a relatively large negatively charged protein (molecular weight 69 kDa, size 36 Ε), which is usually excreted in small amounts in the urine (<20 ΅g/min). Slightly raised urinary albumin excretion, known as microalbuminuria,[23] is defined as urinary albumin excretion 20–200 ΅g/min or 30–300 mg/24 h.[24]
The filter through which albumin must pass before entering the urine, the glomerular capillary wall, is size- and charge-selective. Microalbuminuria is thought to be a consequence of increased albumin leakage through the glomerular capillary wall as a result of increased permeability of the wall, increased intraglomerular pressure, or both.[25,26] Hyperglycemia and high blood pressure are generally accepted to be the main risk factors for developing microalbuminuria.[27,28] Both can increase intraglomerular pressure.[29] Moreover, hyperglycemia can alter the charge selectivity of the glomerular capillary wall, thereby increasing its permeability.[30] In a healthy kidney, over 99% of filtered albumin is reabsorbed by mechanisms that are probably close to saturation. A small increase in albumin filtered by the glomerulus will lead to an excessive supply of albumin to the renal tubulus. Although a compensatory increase of tubular reabsorption has been suggested, this might only be present in an early stage of increased albumin filtration.[31] As a consequence, increased filtered albumin will lead to increased albumin excretion in the urine.[32]
The prevalence of microalbuminuria is low in the general population and rises with age, resulting in a prevalence of about 8–10% in the general elderly population.[28,33] The prevalence of microalbuminuria among diabetic and hypertensive subjects is much higher than that in the general population, i.e. approximately 30%[28,34] and 20%,[28,34] respectively.

Microalbuminuria as a cardiovascular risk indicator
Microalbuminuria is a well-recognized, strong and independent risk marker of cardiovascular disease among diabetic subjects.[35] In a systematic review, Dinneen and Gerstein[36] showed that microalbuminuria among Type 2 diabetic subjects was associated with a 2.4-fold (95% CI 1.8–3.1) increased risk of cardiovascular death compared with normoalbuminuria. In addition, elevated urinary albumin excretion has been found to be an independent risk marker for cardiovascular disease among non-diabetic subjects.[37,38] Whether microalbuminuria is also a risk marker among hypertensive subjects is still the subject of debate.[39,40] In a 10-year follow-up study, Samuelsson et al.[41] showed that macroalbuminuria (i.e. albumin excretion above the microalbuminuria threshold) was associated with an approximately threefold increased cardiovascular risk among hypertensive males. Recently, we were the first to show that the presence of microalbuminuria was also associated with a threefold increased risk of cardiovascular mortality among hypertensive subjects.[42]
In view of the strong and independent association between microalbuminuria and deterioration of renal function, the American Diabetes Association recommends yearly routine urinalysis for the detection of microalbuminuria among diabetic subjects.[24] However, although microalbuminuria is strongly associated with a decline in renal function among Type 1 diabetic subjects,[23,43] among Type 2 diabetic subjects microalbuminuria is much more strongly related to risk of cardiovascular disease.[36] Among 503 Type 2 diabetic subjects followed for 10 years, 2% died from uremia whereas 56% died from cardiovascular disease.[35] In other words, many Type 2 diabetic subjects will die of cardiovascular disease before renal failure develops. Thus, screening for microalbuminuria among Type 2 diabetic subjects should be used primarily as a means to stratify risk of cardiovascular disease.

Pathophysiological mechanisms
The underlying pathophysiological mechanism through which microalbuminuria is related to cardiovascular disease is unclear, although several mechanisms have been proposed which can be categorized into three main hypotheses (Figure 2). First, microalbuminuria could simply be a marker of an underlying pathophysiological process causing atherothrombosis (Figure 2). Several processes have been suggested. Microalbuminuria could reflect a systemic transvascular leakage of albumin[44,45] caused by alterations in the extracellular matrix, which might predispose to greater penetration of atherogenic lipoprotein particles into the arterial wall.[46] Alternatively, microalbuminuria could reflect generalized endothelial dysfunction (without necessarily involving other layers of the vessel wall)[47]. Accordingly, microalbuminuria is associated with increased plasma levels of proteins secreted by or shed from injured endothelium, such as vWF (see below)[48], thrombomodulin[49] and fibronectin.[50] Microalbuminuria could also reflect chronic low-grade inflammatory activity since it has been found to be associated with levels of proinflammatory cytokines.[51] Furthermore, among Type 2 diabetic subjects, microalbuminuria has been found to be associated with impaired fibrinolytic activity[52] and with a procoagulant state.[53] Finally, microalbuminuria has been proposed to be part of the insulin resistance syndrome,[54,55] a cluster of cardiovascular risk factors (i.e. glucose intolerance, insulin resistance, hypertension, obesity and dyslipidemia), and might as such increase the risk of cardiovascular disease. Thus, microalbuminuria could reflect several pathophysiological pathways causing atherothrombosis.
The second hypothesis suggests that microalbuminuria might reflect a certain risk factor which has not yet been discovered (Figure 2). Hyperhomocysteinemia may be a candidate since an increased homocysteine level has been found to be associated with risk of atherothrombotic disease[56,57] on the one hand and with the presence of microalbuminuria on the other.[58] A decreased level of cardioprotective proteins such as apolipoprotein A-I is another candidate.[59] These proteins could be lost in the urine along with albumin.
The third hypothesis proposes that microalbuminuria could reflect a certain susceptibility for developing atherothrombotic diseases (Figure 2). This hypothesis is based on the idea that some subjects may have a more pronounced inherent response to risk factors, thus predisposing them to increased cardiovascular risk.

Figure. 2. Proposed pathophysiological pathways through which microalbuminuria might be related to cardiovascular events.


In summary, microalbuminuria is a strong independent indicator of increased cardiovascular risk among non-diabetic and Type 2 diabetic subjects. Therefore, microalbuminuria can be used for stratification of risk of cardiovascular disease. Once microalbuminuria is present, cardiovascular risk factor reduction should be more ‘aggressive’. Finally, it is of great importance to unravel the pathophysiological mechanism behind the association between microalbuminuria and cardiovascular risk in order to develop more specific treatments.

von Willebrand factor (vWF)
vWF, a multimeric glycoprotein, is secreted mainly by endothelial cells and megakaryocytes. vWF is continuously released into the bloodstream in small amounts. This results in plasma vWF concentrations of 50–150% (i.e. 0.5–1.5 U/ml)48, as assessed by highly-specific electroimmunopheresis or ELISA. Once in the bloodstream, vWF mediates platelet adhesion to the subendothelium and serves as a carrier protein for Factor VIII.
Levels of vWF can increase rapidly in response to acute endothelial injury, as a result of acute release of stored vWF from endothelial storage bodies, the so-called Weibel-Palade bodies. Plasma vWF concentration can also increase slowly due to an increase in vWF secretion in response to abnormal environments such as diabetes mellitus, hypertension, renal failure or malignancies.[48,60,61]
To date, there is no consensus about which cut-off level should be used to define a high vWF concentration. The cut-off level which is used most often is a vWF level above 150%.

von Willebrand factor (vWF) as a cardiovascular risk indicator or risk factor
Increased levels of vWF have been found to be associated with the presence of peripheral,[62] cerebral,[63] and coronary artery atherothrombotic disease.[64] Furthermore, vWF levels are higher among subjects with (compared to those without) cardiovascular risk factors, e.g. hypertension,[65] hypercholesterolemia,[66] smoking[67]and diabetes.[68–71] Moreover, prospective studies have shown high levels of vWF to be associated with cardiovascular mortality among patients recently presenting with clinical manifestations of cardiovascular disease[63,64,72] and among Type 2 diabetic subjects.[69]
So far, similar prospective data among healthy subjects or subjects at high risk of developing atherothrombosis are lacking (except for one study among Type 2 diabetic subjects[69]).

Pathophysiological mechanisms
The pathophysiological explanation for the association between increased cardiovascular risk and high vWF levels is not entirely clear (Table 1). The most commonly held view is that increased levels of vWF reflect generalized endothelial dysfunction.[48,60,73] Accordingly, injury to endothelial cells has been shown to increase the secretion of vWF both in vitro and in vivo.[48,60] Alternatively, it has been hypothesized that vWF, as an acute-phase reactant,[74] reflects endothelial activation and stimulation (without necessarily implying endothelial dysfunction) and as such reflects a low-grade inflammatory state. On the other hand, the bioactive properties of vWF might by themselves increase cardiovascular risk. (Note that if that were in fact the case, high vWF levels would be a risk factor rather than a risk indicator.) Plasma vWF has a key role in platelet adhesion, thrombus formation and coagulation. As a consequence, increased levels of vWF could induce a procoagulant and prothrombotic state,[75] thereby explaining the high risk of reinfarction among survivors of myocardial infarction with high vWF levels.[72] Alternatively, increased vWF levels could increase plasma viscosity. vWF multimers are the largest known soluble human plasma protein molecules and by virtue of their size may increase plasma viscosity.[76] Moreover, high viscosity has been found to be related to increased risk of cardiovascular disease.[77–79] Thus, increased vWF levels are strongly associated with risk of cardiovascular mortality among subjects with advanced atherothrombosis. Although similar associations are likely to be present among other subgroups with high cardiovascular risk, prospective studies are necessary to confirm this.

C-reactive protein (CRP)
CRP, an acute-phase reactant, is a marker of inflammation which is often assessed in clinical practice to monitor inflammatory responses.[80] The synthesis of CRP in the liver is largely regulated by cytokines, in particular interleukin-6, which are secreted by activated leukocytes, fibroblasts and endothelial cells. The physiological role of CRP is not fully understood, although it has been suggested that CRP contributes to the inflammatory response.[81,82] In healthy subjects, plasma CRP concentrations assessed by highly sensitive assays[83,84] are generally low, i.e. 95% of the general population have a CRP level <3 mg/l and 99% a level <10 mg/l. In response to inflammatory stimuli, CRP levels can rise five- to more than 100-fold within 6 h. The plasma half-life and the fractional catabolic rate of CRP are constant in almost all conditions. Consequently, plasma CRP levels are thought to be determined only by the rate of synthesis, which basically reflects the presence, extent and activity of disease. Therefore, slightly increased, but conventionally normal, CRP levels may reflect a chronic, low-grade inflammatory state.

C-reactive protein (CRP) as a cardiovascular risk indicator or risk factor
Increased levels of CRP have been found to be associated with lipid levels, obesity, diabetes and pack-years of smoking.[51,85,86] In addition, levels of CRP have been found to be higher among subjects with (compared with those without) (sub)clinical cardiovascular disease.[85] Moreover, several prospective studies have demonstrated a clear association between slightly increased CRP levels and risk of cardiovascular events among subjects at high risk of atherothrombotic events,[87] those with stable and unstable angina,[85] those with prior myocardial infarction,[88] and among apparently healthy men89 and women.[86] For example, among subjects free of clinical cardiovascular disease, risk of cardiovascular events was about three times higher among those with CRP levels in the upper quartile compared with those with CRP levels in the lower three quartiles.[90] Levels of CRP are higher among Type 2 diabetic subjects than among non-diabetic subjects.[91] To date, no prospective data on CRP and cardiovascular disease in Type 2 diabetes have been published.

Pathophysiological mechanisms
It has been hypothesized that a chronic low-grade inflammation is the mechanism through which CRP is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events (Table 1).[89] 

Table 1. Proposed pathophysiological pathways through which high plasma levels von Willebrand factor (vWF), C-reactive protein (CRP) and soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1) may be related to risk of cardiovascular events.

Alternatively, CRP might have bioactive properties which by themselves could counterregulate the inflammatory response. Both pro- and anti-inflammatory properties of CRP have been proposed.[81,82] In vitro studies have shown that high levels of CRP could diminish the first step of neutrophil extravasation by downregulating the expression of L-selectin on the neutrophil surface[82] and thus attenuate the normal inflammatory response. On the other hand, raised CRP levels can activate complement via the classic pathway[81] and thus have proinflammatory properties. These data, however, should be interpreted with caution since the concentrations of CRP used in these experiments were often in a supraphysiological range.
Taken together, measurement of CRP levels may provide a novel method for assessing cardiovascular risk among healthy subjects as well as among subjects with clinical manifestations of atherothrombosis.

Soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1)
Membrane-bound VCAM-1 is a member of the immunoglobulin superfamily, one of the main four classes of adhesion molecule receptors. Membrane-bound VCAM-1 is a ligand for leukocyte integrins and is thought to allow tethering and rolling of monocytes and lymphocytes as well as firm attachment and transendothelial migration of leukocytes,[92,93] both of which are important early in the atherothrombotic process. In the normal situation, there is a constitutively low expression of membrane-bound VCAM-1 on endothelial cells, smooth muscle cells, tissue macrophages,[94,95] lymphoid dendritic cells and renal tubular cells.[96]
Soluble forms (sVCAM-1) have been detected in plasma.[97] The release of sVCAM-1 in the bloodstream is reported to be in parallel with the expression of membrane-bound VCAM-1 on endothelial cells.[98] Plasma levels of sVCAM-1 can be assessed by highly-sensitive ELISA techniques. The concentration of sVCAM-1 normally present in plasma of healthy subjects has been found to be 400–600 ng/ml.[99] This concentration, however, is highly dependent on the ELISA technique used.
Membrane-bound VCAM-1 synthesis can be upregulated several-fold in response to stimuli such as cytokines,[100] modified lipoproteins101 and advanced glycation endproducts.[102] Furthermore, plasma levels of sVCAM-1 can rise in response to increasing blood pressure induced by the cold pressor test, suggesting that increased pressure on endothelial cells can also upregulate VCAM-1 synthesis or increase its shedding from the cell membrane.[103] Finally, the presence of oxidants has been suggested to play a crucial role in the upregulation of VCAM-1 synthesis.[104] Interestingly, De Mattia et al.[105] showed that treatment with antioxidants decreased plasma sVCAM-1 levels among Type 2 diabetic subjects.

Soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1) as a cardiovascular risk indicator or risk factor
In vitro experiments showed endothelial expression of VCAM-1 to be an early manifestation of experimental cholesterol-induced atherothrombosis.[106] Increased VCAM-1 expression has also been found to be present on human atherothrombotic plaques.[107] In addition, sVCAM-1 levels are associated with cardiovascular risk factors, i.e. hypertension,104 impaired glucose tolerance[108] and hypertriglyceridemia.[109] Recent cross-sectional studies have shown significant positive associations between sVCAM-1 levels and carotid artery intimal-medial thickness[110,111] and the severity of peripheral arterial disease obtained by angiography.[110,112] Two prospective studies, however, could not demonstrate high levels of sVCAM-1 to be associated with risk of cardiovascular events among apparently healthy subjects[113] or among subjects with peripheral arterial disease.[114]
Levels of sVCAM-1 have been found to be higher among Type 2 diabetic subjects than among non-diabetic subjects.[71,99,111] Recently, Otsuki et al.[115] found sVCAM-1 levels to be positively associated with intimal plus medial complex thickness of the carotid arteries among diabetic but not among non-diabetic subjects. They reasoned that increased sVCAM-1 levels might be a specific indicator of atherothrombosis among diabetic subjects only. If so, levels of advanced glycation endproducts, which are increased among Type 2 diabetic subjects compared with non-diabetic subjects, might play an important role, since they can strongly stimulate VCAM-1 synthesis. It would therefore be of particular interest to investigate the predictive value of sVCAM-1 for future cardiovascular disease among diabetic subjects.

Pathophysiological mechanisms
The most commonly held view is that increased plasma sVCAM-1 levels reflect increased membrane-bound VCAM-1 levels and thus reflect progressive formation of atherosclerotic lesions (Table 1).[116] Alternatively, increased levels of sVCAM-1 could reflect generalized endothelial dysfunction, since plasma levels most likely originate mainly from endothelial cells and are closely correlated with vWF levels.[110,113] Third, increased sVCAM-1 levels might simply be a marker of an acute-phase response, reflecting the progressive low-grade inflammation of the vessel wall. Accordingly, several cytokines which can induce an acute-phase reaction in response to proinflammatory antigens strongly increase the expression of VCAM-1 on cultured endothelial cells.[117] Fourth, increased levels of sVCAM-1 might be explained not only by an increased synthesis/shedding but also by impaired clearance of sVCAM-1 molecules. Although little is known about the route of elimination of these molecules, an important role of the kidney has been suggested.[118] Finally, sVCAM-1 itself may have bioactive properties related to cardiovascular risk. For example, Koch et al.[119]  have recently shown that sVCAM-1 has proangiogenic properties.
Thus, there is growing evidence that increased levels of sVCAM-1 are associated with the degree of atherothrombosis, although prospective data are not conclusive. Future prospective studies should focus on the importance of increased plasma sVCAM-1 level for future risk of cardiovascular events, especially among diabetic subjects.

Conclusion
Current clinical practice follows the strategy of matching the intensity of treatment of individual patients to their risk of cardiovascular disease. Guidelines for primary prevention of coronary heart disease in clinical practice, however, are mostly based on the use of risk tables which include only conventional risk factors.[120,121] Although a rough risk estimate can be obtained from these tables, more precise risk stratification is needed. Therefore, we have described four promising new risk indicators which may provide increased precision in risk estimation, i.e. microalbuminuria and increased plasma levels of vWF, CRP and sVCAM-1

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